Nightly Briefing 5/11/20


The only time to put on a sustained short in the modern day Fed-infused markets is at intermediate cyclical lows, which occur 1-2x per year. However, our AI system does target 2-5 day periods of extreme volatility to place shorts. One such event is coming up and we will be alerting our members shortly. Do not expect a multi-week significant downtrend until the end of June/July. The Federal Reserve's plan is to pump this market as high as they can into the end of the second quarter. Forget the headlines it all about the money, follow it.

Look at the December 24th 2018 low and see the amount of dumb money that started to put on short positions in equities during  the entire move up. Look familiar? Caveat venditor, seller beware. The market has a long way to go before we have another significant pullback. However, we will capitalize on volatility and 1000-2000 point Dow point swings. The upside price rally has more room to climb over the near future.



Expect Gold to steam higher into June before a larger correction is seen. $2000+ is coming into summer and early fall.

There will be wild swings in the miners: 1-3 day periods of intense volatility we will not trade in and out of. Our data demonstrates you will make significantly less over a period of time if you attempt to time these short-term moves. However, if our system identifies a 3-5+ day period of weakness it is likely we may take profits on our NUGT position and re-enter.  One of these may be coming up, we will be in touch. The trend into June-September is for the miners to grind higher and play catch up. Miners give you leverage on Gold’s moves and using NUGT provides an even greater way to leverage your position. 



Natural gas is a very volatile commodity dominated by a few energy trading firms and subject to many shenanigans. Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have buy targets for 2020 on the commodity $3.50 and $2.85 respectively. Ignore the noise of a one-week supply build up etc. Do you think Oil has a supply build up problem? There is no oil storage left on the planet yet look at the commodity price recently, up significantly. Wall Street looks 6-9 months ahead. If you're going to trade on headlines you will no have consistent returns. Natural Gas has a much more bullish profile with much more upside than Crude Oil. We will likely hold this position into mid-summer to harvest maximum profits. It will be a trade that keeps on giving. Remember our AI target is a strong one for a June 8-12 top in Natural Gas. Also remember that Natural Gas advance doesn't trade like a normal Elliot Wave advance in terms of structure , it is erratic. Ignore the violent swings. Since we have been in the trade everyone has seen that it's capable of advancing multiple points within days. We will look to harvest profits in early June. If we are stopped out of our Boil position we will most likely re-enter it the end of May.

Bitcoin has moved into its halving date and is putting in a short term top currently. We are highly bullish on this crypto going into later stages of summer. We will be buyers.


There are trades developing in bond, crypto, equity, energy, and metals (including silver) coming over the next 45 days. Be prepared to make significant profit. We have yet to book one loss for our members during 2020. Watch for our trade alerts this week. We may be very active.

HFZ

©2020 Hedge Fund Z

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 

 

Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 

 

The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  

 

No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 

 

By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

For additional important risks, disclosures, and information, please visit www.hedgefund-z.com/terms-and-conditions.