Nightly Briefing 10/6/20


We are about to receive as close to a softball pitch as the market gives. President Trump is negotiating with Speaker Pelosi over the size and use of stimulus proceeds. We anticipate stocks to have a rough 48 hours, but expect news of a band-aid deal to be struck as soon as Thursday, rocketing prices to potentially new highs in some indexes into October 15-25th. We will have a low most likely on Wednesday/intraday Thursday as we have anticipated for weeks. We will know more tomorrow and will alert when our system has identified the greatest risk/reward entry. A large rally should ensue. We will be evaluating investment vehicles over the next 24 hours.


A retest should be in order into Thursday at the $173 level on GLD ($1848 futures) with possibility for $1810. We would not short anything - including gold. Corrections can be aborted in stocks and metals if enough capital is thrown at the fire. We have watched too many people blow their accounts out continually looking to short. There is a time and place for everything. Trump is tweeting about expectations of stocks at record highs shortly. Like the v-shaped recovery out of the March lows, it's always a promising sign when Trump's forecast aligns with ours. Stocks will be more resilient than metals and can fight a strong dollar with the Fed’s help.


We have had countless emails over the past several weeks demonstrating considerable FOMO, fear of missing out, on the metals. We will not miss this one and will time our entries. Silver is headed to $20 and SLV probably $19. We have bottoming windows this week and later in the month. If our targets are struck, we may very well enter this week. We do not think this will be the case as more time is probably required into later October to finish this correction.


Miners are breaking down following gold’s lead.


Everything in the metals complex follows gold, bottom line. We expect a 50% retracement, which would take price to $1770 sometime during this month. If this level is struck, we will be major buyers without question. If we come up short and end the correction in one of our two bottoming windows with a higher low, we will still alert the long trade.


The dollar's strength hit BTC today.


Natural gas was not spared, but this should prove to be only temporary.


DENN again trading in the buy zone. Expect to see price supported here by dip-buyers. Most restaurant volume is back to pre-Covid levels. It is only a matter of time before DENN spikes.


By far the strongest stock we own currently is SPCE. Major institutional investors continue to add to SPCE this week, namely Ark Investments. They were on TSLA early and crushed the short-sellers. They are calling SPCE the TSLA of the next decade. Expect $20 to hold the next 2 days. We will continue to buy on weakness.


The market snapshot has been updated in the gold portal this evening.

HFZ

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