Nightly Briefing 6/17/20


Gold will likely be range bound into July/August within a consolidation box. Profits can be generated but pinpoint entries and exits are necessary.

A near term move is about to occur as one can see price is being squeezed. We favor a spike up out of this sideways coil, then reversing back down quickly. Again, $1810 futures is the line in the sand every bullion bank is watching and defending. Silver and the miners will currently follow gold. A great trade should develop for us after this plays out into late June/early July.


To profit in this type of market you need to be long during a particular set of days. If one looks back at the rally since March, only a handful of days have accounted for the vast majority of the gains. Investors frequently give up in panic or frustration before these big days land. Patience is key. Our staff and AI have identified a particularly bullish period coming up in approximately 5 trading days. Sentiment is slowly resetting to provide the fuel for another run at post recovery highs. We favor no large correction until later in July/August. Only a binary event would change our thinking. Don’t fight the Fed and just follow the money. Stocks are the only game in town with the Nasdaq being the new Park Avenue. As they've been for a long time, valuations will continue to be high and will become even higher. Best get used to this new environment. You can already see many 'old school' value-based money managers being left in the dust as they fail to accept this new paradigm.

The same goes for our restaurant holdings in BLMN and DENN. The weakness being observed this past week in certain high dividend stocks has been from pension fund selling. With the discount rate near zero for months, many are underfunded and liquidating to make timely payments. This will be the next great bailout in our country. The great pension crisis will be derived from the Fed having induced artificial low interest rates for years, leaving pensions underfunded. Most of their capital pours into government debt with the rest into high yield dividend companies like BLMN and DENN. The hedge funds will pick up the slack into the end of the quarter. Have no fear.


HFZ





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Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 

 

Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 

 

The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  

 

No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 

 

By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

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