Nightly Briefing 7/30/20


By far the leader of the US stock market over the last year has been SOXX, the semiconductor index. When big money sniffs out major turns in the market, the first asset class they buy is the SOXX. Look at the March 23rd SPX low and you will see SOXX bottomed days earlier. It is favored among modern day money managers. All of the leaders in this current bull market (AI, robotics, human sciences, etc) necessitate semiconductors. Although the DOW and SPX finished down, the NDX stayed green led by earnings and the relief rally after testifying in Washington DC the past few days. Over the next 3 trading days, we should see a blow-out up day with large gains across the indexes. SOXX is sniffing this out early. After a quick spike top over the next 2-3 days we expect another pullback, which will then usher in a stock market rally into late August. We may look at SOXL when the pullback is finished later next week. Bottom line, we are still in buy-the-dip mode.


Large support for the metals is at XAU 147, which held today. It was a 50/50 proposition how this pullback in metals would occur but both roads led us to gains in DUST. There are too many dip buying day traders to blow through support currently so more trapping is needed. Metals may bounce Friday/Monday before rolling over next week and probing lower price levels. Silver is also in sync with US stock markets, making us cautious on holding DUST into Monday/Tuesday. If you thought the move in silver in the third week of July was big, wait until you see the move late in August and early September (our largest silver AI target of the year). We will be long after the pullback occurs and support is tested (more on this over the weekend). Gold will have the largest pullback of all the metals in the coming week.


BLMN held up well on a tough day for the DOW. Restaurant stocks are seeing capital flows value buying. The move through $12 will most likely be an explosion - not likely giving traders time to get in. We have potential for a Friday through Tuesday move. If it doesn’t materialize this week, don’t panic as it's days away. 


DENN bucked the market trend and traded green today. Value investors have taken notice of the risk/reward and are positioning for the impending run.

Oil tested support and closed back above the 10DMA, a good sign.  Higher prices are coming into our AI target of mid to late August.


Expect GBTC to grind between $11.85-$13.25 for a few days before another leg higher to $15+.

HFZ

Financial Disclosures All opinions, information and illustrations expressed are solely for information and educational purposes and do not constitute investment or trading advice. We bear no responsibility for any actions taken or not taken by third parties after reading the blog. This email content has no regard to your own investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. We may have an interest and may make purchases, sales or short sales in the securities referred to in the financial educational platform blog. Please ask for our consent before re-publishing blog content. Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes.  Hedge Fund Z LLC is a financial blog for the sole purpose of information.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility.  Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options.  The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser, bank or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you.  By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services. Hedge Fund Z Terms and Conditions

©2020 Hedge Fund Z

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 

 

Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 

 

The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  

 

No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 

 

By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

For additional important risks, disclosures, and information, please visit www.hedgefund-z.com/terms-and-conditions.