Nightly Briefing 7/8/20

Nightly Briefing 7/8/20


We like to be fully transparent and honor our entry price in any asset. We will not formally issue an average-down buy alert for DENN to reduce our cost basis, but many members have asked about the timing of such. We feel Wells Fargo, the underwriter of the $80 million dollar offering, will defend the the $8.50 level barring an extreme market liquidation event. $8.50-$9.10 is a good spot in our opinion to add stock to current positions.

The same goes for BLMN. Any price at near or below $10 is a good spot to average in. Restaurant traffic was terrible in April and May. However, the last 2 weeks of June showed an average sales of only 13-15% off from normal levels. Once these statistics become more apparent, mainstream investors will pile in. In this market, today's trash is tomorrow’s treasure.


We are looking for a spike in crude oil over the next 2 days.

A spike into tomorrow AM is possible before a reversal. A test of support should follow into Monday.


We may trade in and out of DUST the next 5-7 days. 

Even on days when we've forecast weakness for the market it doesn't seem to sell off. Expect a rally into the Fed meeting and earnings season late July/early August followed by a quick sell-off which will be blamed on poor earnings guidance.



HFZ


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