Nightly Briefing 9/27/20


Look for end-of-quarter window dressing in major indexes into September 30th +/- one trading day. We mentioned this trade last week for aggressive traders into the end of the month in SPX and NDX.


The NDX has accrued record non commercial shorting the last 10 days. This is a result of retail traders hedging their mega-tech and biopharma positions into the election. If our forecast plays out (waiting for confirmation October 6/7), we will experience an epic squeeze and a tremendous rally in the NDX. Other indexes will participate but not close to NDX. We will look at shorting SPXL September 30th with a tight stop. We will look to buy the pullback into Oct 5-7 for the rally in the NDX via TQQQ.


We expect an intermediate cycle low at the end of October. That is the best time to play the metals complex with leverage.


Don’t think about going long SLV or GDX unless for a short term trade, not recommend. The trend is currently down. Lows for SLV , GDX, and GDXJ are targeted for early November. This will be a tremendous buying opportunity.


One of our highest confidence trades from our AI is natural gas coming into mid-November: $17-$18 target. We currently have UNG in our short term portfolio.


October should have several big PR’s for Virgin Galactic, which should help price explode higher over $20. 


We expect Denny’s to reinstate its dividend by year end. Institutions make up 90% of Denny's shareholders. Expect them to start piling in before year end.


With Europe looking to ban cash and restrict gold purchases, BTC and SLV are set to explode into 2021. In our opinion, everyone should own some BTC long term. Everyone bashes it in the mainstream but large big name institutions own it and well as many billionaires. Follow the money.


Inflation expectations has influenced price and most commodities. Steel is one sector that has not yet benefited. It should occur into the first quarter of 2021. Rallies in the steel sector can be explosive. CLF has the largest short interest of any major steel companies. Above $10, there is risk of some dilution or debt to raise cash. We will most likely be out of this trade before then and into other steel names for the breakout.


In October, crude at a minimum should retest its September high of $44+ and USO $31-$32.


We have two major, multi-week trending trades coming in metals and stocks. Be prepared, we may take positions in options. Is your account approved for options?

HFZ

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Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 

 

Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 

 

The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  

 

No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 

 

By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

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