Nightly Briefing 9/8/20

The market is following our forecast almost perfectly to date. Expect a brief bounce over the next few days, then a daily cycle low into Sept 16/17 and finally a strong bounce/rally into end of quarter, Sept 25-27. SPX 3500-3600 is the target as long as SPX 3200 is not breached into next week. Be patient - we will have strong long trades next week and if you're eyeing any individual stocks, next Wednesday/Thursday should be a great buying opportunity. September 29th-October 6th is the next danger period capable of producing a 1000-2000 drop in the Dow along with the other major indexes. Then a large rally into October 21st has the potential to bring new highs. From here into the end of the year, there will be huge opportunity for profits with wild swings in stocks, metals, and energy. We believe this will be the most profitable 3 months of the year for HFZ. Start raising cash - there will be several of the best trades of the year taking form next week!

We try not to enter into shorter trades as some members, mostly new traders, are disappointed with a 5% gain. We attempt to focus on the larger trending swing trades when they are available to us, but that requires sitting in cash (which should be regarded as a position) at times and waiting. However, we always offer our short term road map for metals, the stock market and other various asset classes so members who enjoy short term trading and are good at risk management can harvest short-term profits.

We expect DENN to hold the $11 level. After the low is completed next week, a strong rally should finally occur for DENN as we get rotation into value names for end of quarter. DENN is trading at half its pre-Covid value and has already raised cash and diluted. Market risk at these levels remains low.

We warned for 2 weeks of a possible re-test of the breakout level on BTC and GBTC. We elected not to sell at $14+ because that decline was not guaranteed, and based on the size of the rally, we anticipate holding a longer term position. We disclose all of what we see so each member who trades differently can apply our proprietary data to their own trading style. We capitalized on the gap fill Saturday afternoon, issuing a buy alert at $9900 for BTC which trades 24/7. A small chance of a one-day flash crash to $9100 is possible, but not likely. If it does occur, it will be a tremendous price to add.

Steel has held strong in the face of a 1500-point drop in the DOW. The sideways coil should continue until post FOMC into an end-of-quarter spike.

Heavy money flows were detected in SPCE today as it rebounded with strength from oversold levels. This is one stock that has the potential to be the stock of the decade 2020-2030. More and more smart money is beginning to recommend SPCE and take fresh positions. Expect this trend to continue. Higher prices over $20 can come any day with a slew of good PR coming in October. Wall Street is forward thinking.

Oil is our most disappointing position technically. It is embedded in oversold. It should hold out from an ICL correction until stocks are ready to join it (Nov/Dec). We will evaluate it into FOMC week and may or may not remove it from the short term portfolio into month's end.


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Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 


Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 


The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  


No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 


By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

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