Weekend Report 4/19/20

Our entry into BLMN at the $8.57 level is currently up 10%. We anticipate a few more days of chop before breaking $10. Once , that level is passed expect the $12.50-13 level to be tested quickly. Higher prices are expected into Mid-May at that time we will most likely exit this trade. We will hone our sell targets in the coming 2 weeks. There will be a euphoric stage when America re-opens. We expect to sell into that stage before more economic date is released and causes a sell-off into early June. We liked BLMN’s current business model. They are also a leader in the Food Industry, as evident by their appointment to the Economic Revival Council by the President. They will be one of the biggest leaders rebounding up in this sector. Don’t think all Restaurant stocks are created equal. Issues of Franchisee defaults, social spacing layouts, poor geographic demographics related to Covid-19 and shoddy balance sheets will impede many restaurants from rebounding.  BLMN scores very high marks in all areas of concern to us in a post-corona economy.

We anticipate the week to start out with a possible pullback then gain momentum into April 27/28th, testing and possibly breaking the 200 daily moving average around 3000 SPX. Usher in another brief pullback with higher prices into mid-May. Our Artificial Intelligence Algorithm is pointing to a turning point in mid-May, most likely a top of some sort with weakness into early June.  Probably caused by the release of  poor economic data from the shut down.  June’s low will be a major buying opportunity. Please know we feel there is no extended recession coming and certainly no depression. Don’t bet against American innovation and science. 

 Over the next 10-14 days a great buying opportunity will come for GLD and GDX, gold and the gold miners. We plan to  buy this pullback with higher prices expected into early June.

Oil is  currently a great long term buy. However, we expect potentially lower prices over the coming days, barring a Geo-Political Event. We want to buy oil right before a large trending trade occurs. That opportunity will come within the next 2 weeks, be patient.

We want to show daily and weekly charts of Bitcoin. We recently posted an article on the Public HFZ Blog. Please refer to it for the fundamentals of BTC and our view of the asset class. We have a major turning point for BTC in early June. This will most likely be a major low and huge buying opportunity. It should correspond with a short term top in the Gold market. We anticipate a choppy downtrend into our June date. We will be big buyers. Our Algorithm has timed perfect entries for BTC over the last year and we expect this to continue. Again, we search for large trending moves in asset classes. We are not buyers  of multi-day trades, which consume time and  mental capital for the average investor/trader with a busy life. We leave day trading to High Frequency trading algorithms which take human emotion out of the equation. It is not about how often you trade but how much you make at year end. Our system is practical and sustainable for the average investor with a busy normal life.

With help from our Artificial Intelligence Algorithm , advanced technical analysis, investor sentiment, and  static/dynamic cycles we see most of our trades coming weeks ahead. Stay focused , there will be a number of tremendous trades we will be entering the next 1-4 weeks.

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