Weekly Briefing 6/21/20


The Lone Ranger is a western TV series dating back over 80 years. It was remade as a feature film recently in 2013. It features a white stallion known as Silver. The horse was known to have been one of the fastest in the wild west once it got moving - an analogy to the physical commodity silver, the fastest moving commodity once it gets momentum. We want to focus on silver this weekend for its upside potential when it finally starts to move as we expect it to shortly. There are very few asset classes that can keep up with the momentum of silver once it breaks out of multi-year trading ranges.



From 2010-2011, silver nearly tripled in value based on money printing and inflation fears stemming from the great recession of 2007-2009. We have a similar set of circumstances developing today from the Covid-related stimulus. Throw in the global debt bomb and currency crisis and we have the potential for 2010-2011 on steroids.


Silver has accrued demand for decades as an industrial metal, which is likely to increase even more as new technologies come to rely upon it into the next decade. Nano-technologies, robotics, semi-conductors and human sciences all heavily rely upon silver. For 5,000 years, silver has also been a monetary metal and physical store of wealth. We feel silver is set to grow not only based on industrial use, but based on a monetary one as well. First, many European governments are starting to restrict gold purchases and discourage cash hoarding outside of the presently failing monetary systems. The price of gold is set to soar to a minimum of $5,000 an ounce in the coming years which will put the metal out of reach for many average citizens. Look for the people of the world to buy silver, often dubbed the 'poor man's gold' to help protect their wealth in the coming years.



Silver is a heavily dominated and to some degree controlled commodity traded by several large Wall Street banks. These banks own millions of ounces of physical silver in their vaults, but maintain a short position in the “fake” paper silver future markets. They print profits month to month in this thinly traded paper market. However, when periods of extreme demand in the metals market occurs, these large banks must stand aside to some degree and let natural market forces price the metal. We are entering one of these periods now from 2020-2024. It is hard to pinpoint the exact day the metal will break-out over $20 but expect it to be sudden and forceful. You will get an explosive move upwards and through the $20 level and not much real resistance until the $27 level. We feel over the next 60 days silver will breakout. A major cycle top is projected into May of 2021. This should be noted for any investors attempting to use leverage.

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Important Disclosures: Investing in the financial markets can involve considerable risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.  Actual clients may achieve results materially different from the results portrayed.  All material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice and is not meant to suggest that any securities are suitable investments for any particular investor.  All information reflects our own actions, beliefs, and processes for purely informational purposes. HEDGE FUND Z LLC IS A FINANCIAL BLOG FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF EDUCATION.  HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment advisor or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. 

 

Third party quotes and information may not be representative of the experience of HFZ customers and do not represent a guarantee of future performance or success. Many of the results displayed on our website were achieved using leverage, such as 2x or 3x leveraged ETF's or equity options 

 

The information included at HFZ and HFZ writing, research, and updates is prepared for educational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or use any particular system.  Information is based on historical research using data believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to its accuracy. HFZ does not represent themselves as acting in the position of an investment adviser or investment manager for funds that are not under their direct control and fiduciary responsibility. HFZ will not provide you with personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter.  

 

No information, nor any opinion expressed on the Site or in the Services, shall constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned therein.  The information presented on the Site and in the Services has been prepared without regard to any particular investor's investment objectives, financial situation, needs, capacity, and trading ability or experience. Accordingly, you should not act on any information on the Site or in the Services without obtaining specific advice from your financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the basis for your trading and/or investment decisions.  HFZ cannot claim or represent that any of our Services are suitable for you. 

 

By your use of the Site and Services, you're agreeing that you bear responsibility for your own investment research, trades, and investment decisions. Only you can decide whether or not a trade is right for you and you agree to be liable for any trades you initiate at your brokerage using research and/or tools that we provide. If you ignore our advice to do independent research and choose instead to trade solely on information, analysis, alerts or opinions found in our Service or website, you have made a conscious, willing, free, and personal decision to do so. You also agree that HFZ, its directors, its employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, and its agents will not be liable for any investment decision, trade made or action taken by you and others based on news, information, opinion, or any other material published through our Site and Services.  

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